How the Luka Doncic Trade Affects Lakers and Mavericks’ Title Chances

Lakers’ Title Odds Soar Following Luka Doncic Trade

A blockbuster trade that sent Luka Doncic to the Los Angeles Lakers and Anthony Davis to the Dallas Mavericks late Saturday night has had a dramatic impact on NBA betting markets. The trade immediately shifted the landscape, not only affecting the teams involved but also the broader championship outlook.

Lakers’ Title Odds Surge

Before the trade news broke, the Lakers had long odds to win the 2025 NBA Finals and the Western Conference. At that time, their odds were:

• +4000 to win the NBA Finals
• +2500 to win the Western Conference

However, once the trade was confirmed, Los Angeles’ odds significantly shortened. By Sunday morning, the Lakers’ title odds had improved to +1600, placing them as the sixth-best odds in the league. Their Western Conference odds jumped from +900 to +850.

Betting Insights Post-Trade

According to ESPN BET, the Lakers have seen a surge in support from bettors:

• 46.6% of all bets placed on the Lakers to win the NBA title
• 65.2% of the total money wagered on the Lakers’ title chances

Meanwhile, BetMGM reports similar trends:

• 64% of bets placed on the Lakers
• 57% of the total money wagered on them

Despite these high percentages, BetMGM clarifies that no major individual bets have been placed since the trade news broke. The sportsbook also notes that Los Angeles is now its largest liability in terms of the Western Conference title.

Season Win Totals Also Increase

In addition to the title odds, the Lakers’ season win total has been adjusted from 45.5 wins to 48.5 wins at ESPN BET. Currently, Los Angeles sits in 5th place in the Western Conference with a 28-35 record, leaving them with 35 games remaining.

Insight from Oddsmakers

Longtime NBA oddsmaker Jeff Sherman from Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas shared his thoughts on the trade, saying on X (formerly Twitter):
“The Lakers must have seen their recent stretch without AD and said, ‘Fine, we’ll take Luka.'”

Mavericks’ Odds Drop

On the flip side, the Dallas Mavericks saw their odds to win the 2025 NBA Finals lengthen significantly following the trade. The Mavericks’ odds initially stretched from:

• +2500 to +4000 to win the NBA Finals

However, by Sunday morning, their odds had bounced back to +3300. Dallas’ Western Conference odds also experienced a decline, stretching from:

• +900 to +1500, eventually reaching +1600.

Since the trade, the Mavericks have garnered 9.5% of all tickets and 11.1% of all money placed on the championship at ESPN BET.

High Betting Activity Following the Trade

ESPN BET reported a significant increase in betting activity following the trade. As of Sunday at 11 a.m. ET, the sportsbook had already taken the second-highest number of bets for the NBA champion market in a single day since the season started.

Upcoming Mavericks vs. Lakers Showdown

Looking ahead, the sportsbooks have also released odds for the highly anticipated February 25 showdown between the Lakers and the Mavericks in Los Angeles. Initially, the Lakers were listed as a 5.5-point favorite, but the line quickly adjusted to a 4.5-point spread in their favor.

Conclusion

The Luka Doncic trade has already made significant waves in the sports betting world, with the Lakers’ title chances soaring and the Mavericks’ odds declining. As both teams adjust to their new rosters, bettors are sure to keep a close eye on how the trade impacts their performance and overall chances for a championship this season.

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