The storm had already caused widespread flooding, downed trees, power outages and major travel disruptions across the region. The National Weather Service said the system would continue producing coastal flooding and heavy rain through Monday before conditions gradually improve.

At least one person died in New York City after a falling tree struck a 56-year-old man in Brooklyn on Saturday. The New York City Housing Authority identified the victim as an employee of the agency.

Flooding remains the main concern

The nor’easter has repeatedly pushed seawater toward vulnerable coastal communities while high tides have amplified the flooding.

In parts of New Jersey, water covered streets and entered businesses and homes. The National Weather Service warned that another round of coastal flooding could occur as high tides continued through the storm’s slow retreat.

The storm’s timing also coincided with unusually high tides associated with the full moon, increasing the amount of water pushed onto coastal areas. Forecasters said moderate inundation remained possible from the Jersey Shore northward toward the Massachusetts coast.

The National Weather Service’s Weather Prediction Center said strong wind gusts of up to 40 to 50 mph remained possible from New Jersey to Long Island, while heavy rain could produce additional inland flooding from northern New Jersey into southern New England.

In southern New England, the Boston/Norton forecast office said winds had eased but windswept rain, minor coastal flooding and beach erosion would continue into Monday. Localized urban and street flooding remained possible.

A slow-moving storm keeps the Northeast under pressure

Unlike a fast-moving storm that passes within several hours, this nor’easter has remained near the coast for an extended period.

The National Weather Service said the low-pressure system had moved toward the New Jersey coastline and was expected to weaken while slowly shifting back toward southern New England before moving away Monday night.

That prolonged circulation has allowed repeated periods of rain and coastal impacts.

Southern New England was expected to receive additional bands of moderate to heavy rain, with localized flash flooding possible in urban areas, roads and other places where drainage is already strained.

Forecasters said the most severe winds were already easing, but saturated ground and trees still carrying leaves could increase the risk of additional tree damage and power outages.

Power and travel disrupted

The storm knocked out electricity to tens of thousands of customers across the Northeast, with outages exceeding 100,000 during the weekend. Power disruptions were reported across parts of New Jersey, New York and New England.

Strong winds also brought down trees and utility lines.

In New York City, authorities reported hundreds of downed trees by Sunday morning. The falling-tree death in Brooklyn underscored the danger posed by prolonged winds in heavily populated areas.

Air travel was also disrupted.

Hundreds of flights were canceled and thousands delayed during the weekend as airports across the Northeast dealt with wind, rain and deteriorating conditions. Boston Logan International Airport experienced particularly significant disruption.

Road travel was affected by flooding, debris and slick conditions along portions of the Interstate 95 corridor and other major routes.

Dangerous surf stretches along the coast

The storm has also produced large waves, strong rip currents and significant beach erosion along the Atlantic coast.

Buoys recorded waves of 16 feet or more off portions of the Jersey Shore and southern New England during the storm.

The National Weather Service warned that dangerous surf and rip currents could continue from the Carolinas through the Mid-Atlantic and into southern New England.

Coastal flooding has been particularly difficult for communities where roads, homes, businesses and other infrastructure sit only slightly above normal high-water levels.

Conditions expected to improve

The storm is expected to gradually lose strength as it moves away from the Northeast.

The Boston/Norton National Weather Service office said rain should taper Monday night, with some showers potentially continuing into early Tuesday in eastern Massachusetts. It expects a marked improvement by Tuesday.

The Weather Prediction Center likewise said the nor’easter would continue producing impacts through Monday before the system weakens and moves northeastward toward the Gulf of Maine.

That does not mean all flooding will immediately disappear.

Water levels can remain elevated through successive high-tide cycles, while saturated ground can continue producing localized flooding after the heaviest rain has ended.

For communities along the Northeast coast, the immediate concern is therefore shifting from the storm’s strongest winds toward the remaining high tides, rain and flooding as the system finally pulls away.

Reporting Credit: National Weather Service / NOAA — storm track, coastal-flooding, rainfall and wind forecasts; National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center — regional forecast and hazard assessment; National Weather Service Boston/Norton — southern New England forecast and flood impacts; New York City Office of Emergency Management and New York City Housing Authority — New York City storm impacts and fatality information.

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The National Hurricane Center said Sunday that swells generated by Marie would continue affecting Southern California for several days. At the time, the storm was about 695 miles south-southwest of San Diego with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph.

Marie is forecast to weaken while remaining offshore and is not expected to make landfall in California.

Long-Period Swells Reach Southern California

Marie’s influence is reaching the coast through long-period southerly swells traveling across the Pacific.

The National Weather Service office in Los Angeles and Oxnard said a significant southerly swell would produce hazardous surf along portions of the Southern California coast. Forecasters warned of large and potentially deadly waves, strong rip currents and minor coastal flooding.

The effects of a distant tropical cyclone can extend far beyond the storm’s center because ocean swells can travel hundreds or even thousands of miles across open water before reaching shore.

Rip Currents Pose Major Beach Risk

For swimmers and surfers, the most immediate danger is the strength of the ocean currents rather than hurricane-force winds.

The National Weather Service warned that dangerous and potentially life-threatening rip currents could become widespread along parts of the coast. These currents can rapidly pull people away from shore, creating hazardous conditions even when weather on the beach itself appears relatively calm.

Officials are advising people to stay out of the water during the most dangerous conditions or remain near staffed lifeguard towers when entering the ocean.

Large Waves Increase Exposure

The incoming swell is also producing unusually large breaking waves.

The National Weather Service reported that elevated surf could continue along parts of Southern California through Tuesday, while forecasts for portions of the broader California coast called for breaking waves around 10 feet.

Large waves can travel farther up the beach than normal, increasing risks for people near shorelines, rocks, jetties and other exposed locations.

Flooding And Erosion Remain Possible

The elevated surf is arriving alongside relatively high tides, raising the potential for localized coastal flooding.

The Los Angeles-area National Weather Service office warned of possible minor flooding around the coast and said large surf and dangerous rip currents could persist through at least Tuesday.

Repeated large waves can also contribute to beach erosion as water reaches farther inland than under normal conditions.

Marie Expected To Stay Offshore

Marie is not forecast to strike California directly.

The National Hurricane Center said the storm was moving northwest and was expected to turn west-northwest before continuing to weaken. Forecasters expected Marie to become a post-tropical remnant low by Wednesday.

The lack of a direct landfall does not remove the coastal threat. The storm’s swells can reach the California shoreline while the center of Marie remains far offshore.

Swells Extend Beyond Southern California

Marie’s effects are not confined to beaches around Los Angeles and San Diego.

The National Hurricane Center said storm-generated swells would continue affecting portions of southwestern Mexico, the Baja California Peninsula and Southern California for several days.

Other sections of the California coast have also experienced hazardous conditions associated with long-period swells generated by tropical activity in the eastern Pacific.

Officials Urge Beachgoers To Exercise Caution

Weather officials are urging residents and visitors to exercise extra caution while the swell persists.

The National Weather Service recommends staying out of hazardous water, remaining near lifeguard towers when entering the ocean and avoiding rocks and jetties, where large waves and strong currents can create particularly dangerous conditions.

The primary threat from Marie is therefore not a hurricane striking California, but the powerful ocean energy generated by a distant Pacific storm reaching a heavily populated coastline.

Reporting Credit: National Hurricane Center; National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard; National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area.

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(Valid for broadcast until the next advisory at 11:00 AM today)

Overview
Super Typhoon “Pepito” has passed over the waters north of Calaguas Islands and is now situated over the sea east of Quezon.

Hazards Affecting Land Areas

• Heavy Rainfall Outlook:
  Refer to Weather Advisory No. 50 issued at 8:00 AM today for the latest heavy rainfall forecast associated with “Pepito.”
• Severe Winds:
  The wind signals provide a warning of the general wind threat in areas affected by the tropical cyclone. Winds may be slightly stronger in coastal and upland/mountainous regions exposed to the prevailing winds. Areas sheltered from the wind direction will experience less intensity.
  • Wind Signal No. 5: Extreme impacts from typhoon-force winds are expected.
  • Wind Signal No. 4: Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible.
  • Wind Signal No. 3: Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are expected.
  • Wind Signal No. 2: Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are likely.
  • Wind Signal No. 1: Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible.
• Coastal Inundation:
  There is a high risk of life-threatening storm surges, with peak surge heights exceeding 3.0 meters over the next 48 hours. The following areas are at risk:
  • Ilocos Region (western coast), Isabela, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Marinduque, and Bicol Region.
    For detailed information, refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 10 issued at 8:00 AM today.

Hazards Affecting Coastal Waters

• Gale Warning:
  A Gale Warning is in effect over the eastern, western, and southern seaboards of Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Visayas. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 13 issued at 5:00 AM today.
• Sea Condition Outlook:
  Sea conditions are expected to be very rough, with waves up to 14.0 meters in some areas. Mariners are advised to remain in port or seek shelter until conditions improve.
  • Very Rough Seas (Up to 14.0m): Northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; seaboard of Aurora
  • High Seas (Up to 12.0m): Seaboard of Camarines Norte
  • Rough Seas (Up to 4.0m): Seaboards of Batanes, northern Cagayan (including Babuyan Islands), Zambales
  • Moderate Seas (Up to 2.5m): Western seaboard of Bataan; eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands

  Mariners of small vessels are advised not to venture out to sea, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped boats.

Track and Intensity Outlook

• Movement:
  PEPITO is expected to continue moving west-northwestward over the waters north of Camarines Provinces and east of Quezon this morning. By late morning, it will pass close to or over Polillo Islands.
  • Landfall: The typhoon will make landfall over northern Quezon or central/southern Aurora between noon and afternoon today.
  • After Landfall: It will cross the northern portion of Central Luzon and the southern portion of Northern Luzon, passing through the upland areas of Sierra Madre, Caraballo, and Cordillera Central by this afternoon and evening.
  • Emerging over the West Philippine Sea: PEPITO will emerge over the coastal waters of Pangasinan or La Union tonight or early tomorrow (18 November). It will continue to move generally west-northwestward, and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow afternoon.

  It is important to note that areas outside the forecasted landfall and confidence cone may still experience heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surges.

• Intensity:
  PEPITO is expected to slightly weaken as it approaches its second landfall. After crossing mainland Luzon, it will likely weaken into a severe tropical storm. Further weakening is expected over the West Philippine Sea due to the incoming northeasterly wind surge.

Current Status

• Location of Eye/Center: The center of PEPITO’s eye is located over the coastal waters of Vinzons, Camarines Norte (14.9°N, 123.1°E).
• Movement: Moving northwestward at 15 km/h.
• Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the center, with gusts reaching up to 230 km/h.

Conclusion
Residents in affected areas should stay informed and follow advisories issued by local authorities. It is crucial to prepare for heavy rainfall, strong winds, and coastal inundation. Stay indoors and secure property, especially in coastal and highland areas.

Please monitor official weather reports for updates and stay safe.

Source

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