Israel Expands Military Presence in Syria Amid Political Shifts

Israel’s Borders: A Shifting History and the Impact of Syria’s Crisis

Israel’s borders have always been in flux, shaped by wars, annexations, and peace agreements since the country’s founding in 1948. Now, with the downfall of Syrian President Bashar Assad, Israel’s borders could shift once again.

A New Military Presence in Syria

On Tuesday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited the Syrian side of the 50-year-old demilitarized buffer zone and announced that Israeli troops would remain in the area indefinitely. This marks a significant change, as Israel had previously entered the zone after Assad’s fall to ensure that no groups threatening Israel would gain power in Syria.

Netanyahu emphasized that this presence is defensive, but he also made it clear that Israel would stay “until another arrangement is found to ensure Israel’s security.”

A History of Changing Borders

Since its establishment, Israel has never had fully recognized borders. The 1947 U.N. partition plan intended to divide Mandatory Palestine into Jewish and Arab states, but it was never implemented. After declaring independence in 1948, Israel fought neighboring Arab nations, which led to Israel controlling about 77% of the land. The West Bank and Gaza were controlled by Jordan and Egypt, respectively, and Jerusalem became a focal point of conflict.

Though Israel annexed east Jerusalem, the West Bank remains considered occupied territory internationally. Israel also built settlements in the Sinai, Golan Heights, and Gaza Strip, some of which were later dismantled.

Key Moments in Israel’s Border History:

1. 1979 Peace Agreement with Egypt: Israel returned the Sinai Peninsula to Egypt as part of a peace deal.
2. 1981 Golan Heights Annexation: Israel annexed the Golan Heights, a decision recognized only by the U.S. in 2019.
3. 1982 Lebanon Invasion: Israel occupied southern Lebanon for 18 years before withdrawing in 2000.
4. 1993 Oslo Accords: An interim peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians aimed at establishing a two-state solution, which has faced repeated setbacks.
5. 2005 Gaza Withdrawal: Israel unilaterally withdrew from Gaza, which was later overtaken by Hamas.
6. 2023 Gaza and Lebanon Conflicts: Israel responded to Hamas attacks and fought Hezbollah militants in Lebanon.

The Fall of Assad and Israel’s Response

In December, following Assad’s downfall, Israel moved into Syria’s side of the buffer zone, a region established after the 1973 Mideast war. While Israel describes its presence as temporary, it has already drawn international criticism, including from Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and the U.N.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has urged restraint to prevent further escalation, while Syria’s new government has lodged a formal complaint with the U.N.

Will Israel Stay in Syria?

Some experts believe Israel’s presence in Syria may not evolve into a full occupation. Carmit Valensi, a Syria expert at Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies, suggested that Israel has little to gain from provoking Syrian forces. A long-term occupation would be costly for Israel, both economically and militarily. If a moderate Syrian regime emerges, Israel may choose to withdraw, depending on how the situation develops.

In conclusion, Israel’s borders continue to shift, influenced by the broader dynamics of the region. While Israel’s military presence in Syria is framed as a temporary defensive measure, it remains to be seen whether this will evolve into a more permanent territorial change.

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