Yemen’s Houthi rebels have signaled that their recent attacks on Israel and Red Sea shipping may be on hold, coinciding with the ongoing ceasefire in Gaza. The move follows a series of deadly assaults on maritime traffic and infrastructure, though the Houthis have not issued a formal cessation declaration.

Houthis Signal Restraint

In an undated letter addressed to Hamas’ Qassam Brigades and published online, Maj. Gen. Yusuf Hassan al-Madani, chief of staff of the Houthi military, indicated that attacks on Israeli targets and Red Sea navigation would be suspended.

“We are closely monitoring developments and declare that if the enemy resumes its aggression against Gaza, we will return to our military operations deep inside the Zionist entity, and we will reinstate the ban on Israeli navigation in the Red and Arabian Seas,” the letter stated.

While this is the clearest public indication that operations have paused, the Houthis have not formally confirmed a halt. Israel’s military, which has previously targeted Houthi leaders, did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Background of Houthi Attacks

The Houthi campaign gained international attention during the Israel-Hamas conflict, particularly for attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea. Since the start of the Gaza ceasefire on October 10, the group has not claimed responsibility for new operations.

The maritime campaign killed at least nine mariners and sank four ships, disrupting trade through the Red Sea, which handles approximately $1 trillion of global goods annually. The most recent attack occurred on September 29, when a Dutch-flagged cargo ship, Minervagracht, was struck, resulting in one death and one injury.

Though the Houthis claimed to target Israel-affiliated vessels, many of the attacked ships had little or no direct connection to the Israel-Hamas war, raising concerns about collateral damage to international shipping.

U.S. and Regional Responses

Earlier this year, the United States conducted an intense bombing campaign against Houthi positions, including strikes on underground bunkers, in an effort to limit attacks on regional shipping and allied targets. Some operations were paused during former President Donald Trump’s Mideast visit. The Biden administration continued targeted strikes, including the use of B-2 bombers, as part of broader security measures in the region.

Meanwhile, the Houthis have also targeted Saudi Arabia and detained dozens of U.N. and aid agency workers, alleging without evidence that they were engaged in espionage—a claim rejected by the U.N. and international organizations.

Potential Implications

The Houthi signal to pause attacks could reduce immediate maritime risks in the Red Sea and ease tensions between Yemen, Israel, and Gulf states. However, the letter emphasized that any renewed conflict in Gaza could prompt the rebels to resume military operations, highlighting the fragility of the current ceasefire.

Analysts note that the Red Sea is a critical global shipping lane, connecting the Mediterranean via the Suez Canal with Asian and European markets. Even a temporary halt in Houthi operations could stabilize maritime trade temporarily, but uncertainties remain over the group’s long-term intentions.

Source: AP News – Yemen’s Houthi rebels signal that they’ve stopped attacks on Israel and Red Sea shipping

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A new airstrip is rapidly nearing completion on the remote Abd al-Kuri Island in Yemen, raising concerns over its potential military use amid the ongoing conflict with Houthi rebels. Satellite images analyzed by The Associated Press reveal trucks and heavy equipment on-site as the airstrip nears its final stages of construction. The island, located in the Indian Ocean near the Gulf of Aden, could serve as a strategic landing zone for military operations in the region.

Strategic Significance of Abd al-Kuri Island

This new airstrip is being built in a region critical for global shipping. The Gulf and Red Sea, which see vital cargo and energy shipments to Europe, have faced repeated disruptions due to attacks by the Iranian-backed Houthi rebels. These attacks have halved commercial shipping activity, making the island’s airstrip a potentially vital asset for military forces patrolling the area. Experts also worry about weapons smuggling from Iran to the Houthis through this region.

Who’s Behind the Construction?

The construction is widely suspected to be funded by the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has been actively involved in the ongoing Saudi-led military campaign against the Houthis. This airstrip could provide the UAE with increased military presence in the area, an effort tied to their backing of Yemen’s Southern Transitional Council.

Satellite images from January 7 show the runway almost completed, with the main segment of the 2.4-kilometer-long airstrip paved. While the airstrip can accommodate smaller private jets, its size likely excludes the landing of large commercial aircraft or heavy bombers. The UAE has previously been involved in similar infrastructure projects, such as an extended airport in Mocha and an unclaimed runway under construction near Dhubab.

Potential Threats and Regional Tensions

Abd al-Kuri Island lies in a historically strategic location, once used by Soviet warships during the Cold War. It is currently controlled by the Southern Transitional Council, which advocates for Yemen’s division into a north and south region. The UAE has backed this council’s efforts, leading to tensions with the Houthis, who accuse the Emirates of trying to “colonize” the island.

Despite the controversy surrounding its construction, the UAE maintains that their presence is focused on humanitarian aid and stability efforts in Yemen. However, experts suggest the airstrip could provide a platform for surveillance flights, disrupting weapons smuggling routes from Iran to the Houthis.

An Escalating Conflict

The Houthi rebels have been increasingly active, linking their campaign to the Israel-Hamas conflict, while continuing to target Israel and U.S. warships in the Red Sea. Their actions have raised global concerns about the threat posed to American service members stationed in the region.

As the UAE and other countries continue their efforts to disrupt Houthi operations, the ongoing military actions could contribute to a significant escalation of the conflict in Yemen. Experts like Wolf-Christian Paes suggest that the Houthis thrive on war, making a peaceful resolution unlikely in the near future. Despite possible ceasefires or external political efforts, experts predict that 2025 could see an intensification of the war.

International Reactions and Uncertainty

The UAE’s military presence in Yemen remains controversial, with the Houthis accusing the Emirates of espionage and violations of Yemeni sovereignty. As the situation intensifies, the U.S. and its partners have conducted over 260 strikes on Houthi positions, further complicating the conflict.

The potential re-designation of the Houthis as a foreign terrorist organization under a new U.S. administration could escalate the situation even further. Whether the conflict in Yemen will escalate or de-escalate depends largely on international political decisions, with experts uncertain about a peaceful resolution in the coming months.

Source

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