Trump’s comments came a day after he announced an arrangement with Russian President Vladimir Putin to supply diesel to global markets. The US Treasury Department subsequently authorized certain transactions involving Russian-origin diesel, while Moscow announced a partial relaxation of its own export restrictions.

The decisions have intensified a dispute over how Washington should address high fuel prices without increasing Russian revenue during its war against Ukraine. Zelenskyy has condemned the diesel arrangement, arguing that additional energy income would help Moscow finance its military campaign.

The disagreement emerged as US, Ukrainian and European officials were discussing possible terms for ending the war. Trump’s announcement surprised Kyiv while those diplomatic discussions were underway.

Trump demands new Ukrainian leadership

Speaking to reporters at the White House on October 10, Trump said Ukraine should have a leader who could reach an agreement with Russia. He accused Zelenskyy of rejecting opportunities to end the conflict and argued that the war had inflicted severe territorial and human losses on Ukraine.

Trump also criticized Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil refineries. He said he had told Zelenskyy not to target the facilities and warned that the attacks should stop.

The comments represent Trump’s political position on Ukraine’s leadership and military strategy. They do not determine who can hold the Ukrainian presidency. That question is governed by Ukraine’s own constitutional and electoral processes.

Zelenskyy’s government has maintained that Russia launched the full-scale invasion in February 2022 and must end its aggression. Kyiv has argued that military pressure on Russian energy infrastructure can weaken Moscow’s ability to finance and sustain the war.

Trump’s criticism places those Ukrainian operations at the center of a growing disagreement over fuel supplies, sanctions and the terms of a potential peace agreement.

US authorizes Russian diesel transactions

On October 9, the US Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control issued Russia-related General License 135. The authorization permits transactions otherwise prohibited under specified US Russia-related sanctions regulations when they concern the sale, delivery, offloading or importation of Russian-origin diesel fuel, including imports into the United States.

The license is scheduled to remain in effect until April 7, 2027. It does not authorize debits to accounts held by Russia’s central bank, National Wealth Fund or Finance Ministry at US financial institutions.

The measure is a specific authorization for diesel transactions, not a blanket repeal of US sanctions against Russia.

Trump announced an initial supply exceeding 300,000 metric tons, followed by additional volumes planned for November and later months. His announced schedule included 500,000 tons in November, another 1 million tons shortly afterward and a further 3 million tons subject to Russian refinery conditions.

These figures represent announced commitments, not independently verified deliveries. Public statements reviewed for this article do not establish the complete commercial arrangements, including all buyers, payment terms, shipment schedules or final destinations.

The Treasury authorization establishes a legal route for covered transactions to proceed. It does not itself guarantee that all the announced fuel will be produced, sold, shipped or delivered.

Russia partially relaxes diesel export restrictions

Russia also changed its export policy on October 10. The Russian government announced a partial relaxation of restrictions on diesel exports, with an initial 500,000 tons intended for the global market.

The change followed restrictions imposed to protect Russia’s domestic fuel supply. Moscow had extended its ban on diesel exports by producers through the end of October, while restrictions on other exporters were scheduled to continue longer.

The Russian decision and the US Treasury license serve different purposes. Moscow’s action concerns whether Russian fuel can be exported under its domestic rules. Washington’s authorization concerns whether specified transactions involving Russian-origin diesel can proceed under US sanctions regulations.

Neither measure confirms that the entire announced supply has been contracted or delivered. The timing and volume of actual exports will depend on commercial arrangements, available fuel, shipping and other operational conditions.

The two governments’ decisions nevertheless open a potential route for additional Russian diesel to reach international buyers, including the US market.

Zelenskyy says additional Russian revenue would sustain the war

Zelenskyy criticized the arrangement after Russia launched a deadly attack on the southeastern Ukrainian city of Zaporizhzhia on October 10.

He argued that easing restrictions on Russian diesel exports would provide Moscow with additional revenue while Russian forces continued attacking Ukrainian cities. He also warned that Russia could interpret the sanctions relief as a sign that it could continue its military campaign without facing greater economic pressure.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha defended Zelenskyy after Trump called for a new president. Sybiha said Ukraine’s president had the support of the Ukrainian people and that Ukrainians had the right to decide who leads their country.

The criticism reflects Kyiv’s broader position that restricting Russian energy revenue is an important means of limiting Moscow’s capacity to sustain the war.

Trump’s administration, by contrast, has presented additional diesel supplies as a response to high fuel prices. The two positions highlight a policy conflict between immediate energy-market concerns and the longer-term objective of limiting Russian resources available for military spending.

Russian strike kills 20 in Zaporizhzhia

The dispute unfolded alongside continuing Russian attacks on Ukrainian cities.

Ukraine’s State Emergency Service reported that a Russian strike on a residential building in Zaporizhzhia on October 10 killed 20 people, including three children. Eighteen others were reported injured, and rescue operations continued as emergency workers searched the damaged building.

The casualty figures were reported by Ukrainian authorities. The attack occurred on the same day Zelenskyy criticized the Russian diesel arrangement, but the timing does not independently establish any connection between the export decision and the strike.

The deaths added to a series of mass-casualty attacks reported in Ukraine during the same week. They also underscored the immediate security concerns facing Kyiv as its representatives pursued discussions with US and European officials.

The humanitarian situation remains separate from the commercial details of the diesel arrangement, although both developments form part of the wider dispute over how to end the war and constrain Russia’s military capacity.

High diesel prices have multiple causes

Trump has argued that Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries are contributing to high diesel prices. Those attacks can disrupt refining capacity and fuel exports, but the available evidence does not establish them as the sole cause of rising prices in the United States.

The US Energy Information Administration has reported tight distillate supplies, with inventories falling below their five-year range. Its analysis identified the loss of significant distillate supply from the Middle East, Russia and China as a factor contributing to tighter markets and higher prices.

The wider conflict involving Iran has also disrupted oil flows and raised concerns about shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a major route for global energy supplies. These disruptions have added pressure to an already constrained market.

Several measures must be distinguished when assessing the effect of the Russian diesel arrangement. Crude-oil prices, wholesale diesel prices, refining margins and retail prices are related but different indicators. A decline in one does not guarantee an immediate or sustained fall in what US consumers pay.

Additional Russian supplies could contribute to market availability if the announced shipments are delivered. However, the size and timing of any price effect remain uncertain, particularly while other supply disruptions continue.

The US midterm elections on November 3 make fuel costs politically significant, but the timing alone does not establish that electoral considerations were the primary reason for the decision.

European governments maintain pressure on Russia

European officials have also objected to easing restrictions on Russian energy revenue.

German government spokesperson Stefan Kornelius said Germany’s position on maintaining sanctions against Russia remained unchanged. Berlin also reaffirmed its support for Ukraine and said it would continue working with European partners on measures directed at Moscow.

European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas criticized the US move, warning that additional Russian energy revenue could help finance the war. Her position reflects the European approach of maintaining economic pressure while continuing diplomatic efforts to end the conflict.

The European response highlights a difference between Washington’s temporary authorization for Russian diesel transactions and the continued sanctions policy of European governments. The US decision does not automatically change European restrictions.

The disagreement could complicate coordination among the United States, Ukraine and European partners as they seek a common approach to peace negotiations and postwar security.

Diplomatic efforts face renewed strain

The diesel arrangement was announced while US, Ukrainian and European representatives were meeting in Miami to discuss a possible framework for ending the war. Zelenskyy said Kyiv had been surprised by the announcement, and the Ukrainian delegation was returning home after the discussions.

Putin, following his call with Trump, said an immediate resumption of peace talks was unlikely, citing Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow. Russian state media also reported that US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner could travel to Moscow within the following two weeks, although that reported plan was not a confirmed visit schedule.

The latest developments leave several questions unresolved: whether the promised diesel volumes will be delivered, how much fuel will reach the United States, whether the supply will materially affect prices and whether Washington’s policy shift will alter its ability to coordinate with Kyiv and European capitals.

For now, Trump’s call for new Ukrainian leadership has added a political dispute to an already difficult negotiation. The US sanctions authorization and Russia’s partial export-policy change create a potential route for additional diesel supplies, but they do not guarantee lower prices or a breakthrough in peace talks.

Reporting Credit: The White House; US Department of the Treasury, Office of Foreign Assets Control; President of Ukraine; Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Russian Government; European Commission and German Government statements.

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While the talks were seen as an opportunity to boost Ukraine’s defense against Russia’s ongoing invasion, many in Kyiv said the outcome reflected political hesitation in Washington rather than a lack of support. The meeting came as Ukraine’s engineers restored power to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, easing growing fears over Europe’s largest atomic facility.

White House Talks End Without Breakthrough

Zelenskyy had entered Friday’s meeting optimistic that the U.S. might approve the sale of Tomahawk cruise missiles, which Ukrainian officials believe could alter the battlefield balance and pressure Moscow into negotiations. But despite earlier signals from Trump that Washington might authorize the transfer, no agreement was reached.

For many Ukrainians, the outcome was disheartening yet unsurprising. “Ukraine won’t get those missiles. It’s a political game,” said Roman Vynnychenko, a Ukrainian serviceman interviewed by the Associated Press in Kyiv. “Every day civilians and soldiers die, buildings collapse, our streets and cities are being destroyed,” he added, emphasizing that Ukraine must continue securing weapons from alternative partners.

The long-range U.S.-made Tomahawk missiles, capable of striking targets more than 1,000 kilometers away, have been high on Kyiv’s wish list since early in the conflict. Defense experts say they could enable Ukraine to disrupt Russian supply routes deep inside occupied territories.

Trump Balances Support With Caution Toward Moscow

Trump’s stance on Ukraine has fluctuated since his return to office nine months ago. After initially expressing frustration with the war’s cost and duration, he appeared to warm to Kyiv’s appeals in recent weeks, saying he wanted to help Ukraine “win decisively.”

However, his tone shifted again after a lengthy phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday. The U.S. leader announced he would meet with Putin in Budapest, Hungary, in the coming weeks — a move raising hopes for diplomatic progress but also concerns about Ukraine’s leverage.

Analysts in Washington and Brussels noted that Trump’s balancing act reflects both domestic political pressures and a desire to position himself as a global dealmaker. Yet in Kyiv, such diplomacy is met with skepticism. “We have been at war for more than three years. We just want peace,” said psychologist Victoria Khramtsova, reflecting public fatigue after years of bombardment.

War of Attrition Continues Across Ukraine

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which began in February 2022, has turned into a grinding war across a 1,250-kilometer (780-mile) front. Ukrainian and Russian forces continue to exchange artillery, drone, and missile attacks along the eastern and southern regions.

Ukraine’s Air Force reported that Russian forces launched three missiles and 164 drones overnight on Friday, with Ukrainian defenses intercepting 136 of them. Local officials in the Sumy region said two women, aged 51 and 53, were injured when Russian drones hit a gas station in the Zarichny district.

Despite limited progress on the battlefield, Kyiv remains determined to secure more advanced Western weapons. Ukrainian officials argue that stronger deterrence is essential to push Russian troops back and prevent future aggression.

Zaporizhzhia Power Supply Restored, Easing Nuclear Fears

Amid the political uncertainty, Ukraine received one piece of positive news. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed that work had begun to restore the power supply to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, ending a four-week outage that forced the facility to rely on backup diesel generators.

The repairs were made possible after Russian and Ukrainian forces established special ceasefire zones to allow technicians safe access. IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi called the power restoration “crucial for nuclear safety and security,” commending both sides for cooperating with international monitors.

“Both sides engaged constructively with the IAEA to enable the complex repair plan to proceed,” Grossi said in a statement. The project will be completed in two stages — first repairing the Ferosplavna-1 line, followed by the Dniprovska line.

The Zaporizhzhia facility, captured by Russian forces early in the war, has repeatedly lost its external power connections — 42 times since 2022, according to the IAEA. Although the plant’s six reactors are currently shut down, it still requires electricity to cool fuel and prevent a potential meltdown.

Nuclear Safety Remains a Global Concern

Grossi warned that relying on diesel generators — originally designed as an emergency safeguard — had become “an all too common occurrence.” He added, “As long as this devastating conflict goes on, nuclear safety and security remain under severe threat.”

Experts say even a localized incident at Zaporizhzhia could have catastrophic consequences for millions across Eastern Europe. The facility’s vulnerability has drawn consistent international attention, with calls for a demilitarized zone around the plant remaining unfulfilled.

Ukrainians Hold Onto Hope Amid Uncertainty

As the conflict enters its fourth year, Ukrainians are adapting to a prolonged struggle marked by uncertainty and fatigue. Many view Western diplomacy with guarded optimism, wary of shifting political winds in Washington and Europe.

For Zelenskyy, the challenge lies in balancing diplomatic engagement with sustained military readiness. His government continues to press for security guarantees and defense aid, even as global attention drifts toward other crises.

Despite setbacks, many Ukrainians remain resolute. “We will keep fighting with what we have,” said Vynnychenko. “No one will hand us freedom — we have to defend it ourselves.”

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Source: AP News – Ukrainians disappointed after Trump-Zelenskyy meeting fails to immediately secure Tomahawk missiles

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Published Time: 08-18-2025, 12:00

European and NATO leaders will accompany Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to Washington for talks with U.S. President Donald Trump, aiming to secure military support and stronger security guarantees. This coordinated approach follows Zelenskyy’s exclusion from Trump’s recent summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin and seeks to reinforce Kyiv’s position.

European Leaders Rally Behind Zelenskyy

Leaders from Britain, France, Germany, Italy, and Finland confirmed Sunday that they will join Zelenskyy at the White House on Monday. Their presence aims to provide diplomatic support and prevent a repeat of February’s tense Oval Office meeting, in which Trump sharply criticized the Ukrainian president.

Retired French General Dominique Trinquand, former head of France’s military mission at the United Nations, said, “The Europeans are very afraid of the Oval Office scene being repeated and so they want to support Mr. Zelenskyy to the hilt. It’s a power struggle and a position of strength that might work with Trump.”

Security Guarantees and Peace Efforts

During his Alaska summit with Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly agreed that the U.S. and its European allies could offer Ukraine security guarantees similar to NATO’s collective defense pledge. Special U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff called this development “game-changing,” noting it was the first time Russia indicated openness to such guarantees.

French President Emmanuel Macron emphasized that European leaders will ask Trump to support plans to strengthen Ukraine’s armed forces, already the largest in Europe outside Russia, through training, equipment, and long-term funding. “We need a credible format for the Ukrainian army,” Macron said. “We Europeans and Americans must decide how we’ll train, equip, and finance this effort.”

The European plan also envisions allied forces stationed away from the front lines, providing reassurance that peace can be maintained and deterring another potential Russian invasion. Macron highlighted that “several thousand men on the ground in Ukraine in the zone of peace” would demonstrate that “our fates are linked.”

Coordination Among International Partners

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reinforced Macron’s message, stating, “We welcome President Trump’s willingness to contribute to Article 5-like security guarantees for Ukraine. The coalition of the willing—including the European Union—is ready to do its share.”

Other European leaders confirmed their participation, including British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni, Finnish President Alexander Stubb, and NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte. Their collective support aims to reassure Kyiv that Ukraine will not be pressured into premature agreements.

Neil Melvin, director of international security at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), said European leaders are working to “shape this fast-evolving agenda” after the Alaska summit, where the focus has shifted from ceasefire discussions toward long-term security arrangements and preventing Ukraine from joining NATO or the EU under duress.

Ceasefire or Full Peace Deal?

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said a ceasefire remains “not off the table,” but a comprehensive peace deal is considered the best path forward. Putin has resisted meeting Zelenskyy in person, insisting that groundwork for a peace deal must be established first. He also suggested that European nations could inadvertently create obstacles through “behind-the-scenes intrigue.”

For Zelenskyy, European participation is essential to gain entry into high-level discussions about Ukraine’s future and broader European security, according to Melvin. However, with so many leaders attending, the group must avoid sending mixed messages. “The risk is they look heavy-handed and are ganging up on Trump,” Melvin added.

Substantive Security Commitments

While discussions on Article 5-like guarantees remain in early stages, such guarantees would likely mirror NATO terms, where an attack on one member is considered an attack on all. Zelenskyy has stressed that meaningful security commitments require a strong Ukrainian military, European funding, and access to U.S.-provided weapons.

“A security guarantee is a strong army. Only Ukraine can provide that. Only Europe can finance this army, and weapons for this army can be provided by our domestic production and European production. Some items are only available in the United States,” Zelenskyy said at a press conference alongside von der Leyen.

Zelenskyy also countered Trump’s proposal—aligned with Putin’s preference—to negotiate a full end to the war immediately. Instead, he argued that a ceasefire is necessary to review Russia’s demands and create conditions for meaningful negotiations. “It’s impossible to do this under the pressure of weapons,” he said. “Putin does not want to stop the killing, but he must do it.”

Next Steps

Monday’s talks in Washington will be a critical test of coordination between Ukraine, European powers, and the United States. Leaders aim to outline concrete plans for military support, long-term security guarantees, and strategies to deter further Russian aggression. The meeting also seeks to ensure Ukraine’s voice is central in shaping peace agreements and regional security.

Source: AP News – European leaders to join Ukraine’s Zelenskyy for meeting with Trump

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As Ukraine faces one of its most intense waves of Russian attacks since the war began, the United States has decided to pause certain weapons shipments to Kyiv — a move that’s already sparking concern among Ukrainian leaders.

The White House confirmed the decision on Tuesday, saying it came after a Department of Defense review and was made to “put America’s interests first.” While officials did not specify which weapons are being withheld, reports suggest that Patriot air defense missiles, precision artillery rounds, and other high-demand munitions are affected.

Strategic Pause or Risky Timing?

This shift comes at a particularly sensitive time for Ukraine. Over the weekend, the country endured what it called the largest aerial assault since the start of the full-scale invasion in February 2022 — more than 500 drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles were launched by Russian forces.

Ukrainian MP Fedir Venislavskyi, part of the ruling party, described the U.S. decision as “very unpleasant and painful,” especially in the face of ongoing “terrorist attacks” by Russia.

What’s Behind the U.S. Decision?

A U.S. official told CBS News the pause is driven by growing concerns that American stockpiles of advanced weaponry are running too low. Despite this, White House spokesperson Anna Kelly stressed that the strength of U.S. forces remains unquestioned, adding pointedly, “Just ask Iran.”

The Defense Department echoed this message. Undersecretary Elbridge Colby stated that the Pentagon remains committed to supporting Ukraine but is “rigorously examining” how to balance that aid with U.S. military readiness.

Trump and Zelensky: From Confrontation to Cooperation

The announcement also follows a recent meeting between President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky during the NATO summit in the Netherlands. Though the two had previously clashed — most notably during a tense Oval Office meeting in March — Trump said their latest conversation was “very nice.”

He also suggested that the U.S. might still supply more Patriot missile systems to Ukraine, saying, “We are going to see if we can make some of them available.”

Earlier this year, Trump temporarily paused both military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine — suspensions that were later reversed. In April, a new deal between Washington and Kyiv was signed, giving the U.S. access to Ukraine’s valuable mineral reserves in exchange for continued military assistance.

International Talks and Russian Claims

Meanwhile, diplomacy saw a surprising development. French President Emmanuel Macron spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin for over two hours on Tuesday — their first direct conversation in more than two years. Macron called for a ceasefire and peace talks to achieve a “lasting resolution” to the war.

The Kremlin, however, doubled down. Putin reportedly told Macron that Western policies were to blame for the conflict, claiming that Russia’s security concerns had long been ignored. Just last month, Putin declared that “the whole of Ukraine is ours,” asserting a shared identity between Russians and Ukrainians.

On the Ground: Russia Advances, Ukraine Strikes Back

Russia continues to make slow but steady gains in Ukraine. This week, it claimed full control of the eastern Luhansk region and reported new territory captured in the southeastern Dnipropetrovsk region. Moscow now controls about 20% of Ukraine, including Crimea, annexed back in 2014.

But Ukraine isn’t backing down. On Tuesday, it launched a long-range strike on a weapons manufacturing plant in Izhevsk, deep inside Russian territory — more than 1,000 kilometers from the border. The attack killed at least three people and targeted a facility known for producing drones and radar systems.

Source: BBC – US halts some weapons shipments to Ukraine, White House says

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Kharkiv, Ukraine — A devastating Russian drone assault on Ukraine’s second-largest city late Friday left at least 47 people injured and intensified calls from President Volodymyr Zelenskyy for more robust support from Western allies.

According to Kharkiv Mayor Ihor Terekhov, the drones struck 12 separate locations across the city, damaging residential buildings, civilian infrastructure, and vehicles. Regional Governor Oleh Syniehubov confirmed widespread destruction.

Authorities say the attack involved thermobaric warheads — highly destructive weapons that create intense blast waves and fireballs. Ukraine’s Prosecutor’s Office described the strike as a possible violation of international humanitarian law, underscoring the brutality of the assault.

“While the world hesitates, nearly every night in Ukraine turns into a nightmare,” Zelenskyy posted on X early Saturday. “We need real decisions. We need stronger air defenses.”

Massive Overnight Barrage

Ukraine’s air force reported that Russia launched 183 drones and decoys during the night. Of those, 77 were shot down and 73 others likely jammed by electronic defenses. Russia also fired two ballistic missiles.

Moscow claimed its forces shot down 170 Ukrainian drones, along with eight cruise missiles and three guided missiles, reflecting the escalating tit-for-tat attacks between the two countries.

Meanwhile, in southern Russia, a drone strike on the Black Sea port city of Novorossiysk injured five people, including two children, according to local officials.

U.S.-Backed Ceasefire Proposal Gains Momentum

Amid the intensifying conflict, President Zelenskyy expressed openness to a 30-day ceasefire proposed by the United States, signaling a potential pause in fighting that could open the door for deeper diplomatic efforts.

Speaking to reporters in Kyiv on Friday, Zelenskyy said the ceasefire could begin at any time, emphasizing that “you can’t agree on anything serious in three, five, or seven days.” A full month, he said, could provide space for genuine negotiations.

His comments came just days after the U.S. and Ukraine finalized a landmark agreement granting American access to Ukraine’s mineral resources — a deal that could secure continued U.S. military support amid uncertainty about Donald Trump’s stance in future peace talks.

Skepticism Over Russia’s Ceasefire Claims

Zelenskyy dismissed Russia’s announcement of a unilateral 72-hour ceasefire next week to mark Victory Day as a public relations move. “It looks unserious,” he said. “Just a way to make Putin’s guests on Red Square feel comfortable.”

He reiterated that Ukraine’s military response would remain “mirror-like,” reacting directly to Russia’s moves. While acknowledging the difficulty of enforcing a ceasefire without international oversight, he stressed that the U.S.-backed proposal offers a “credible start.”

Efforts are underway to organize a meeting of international advisors — possibly on Ukrainian soil — to discuss the next phase of negotiations. Zelenskyy called it a “positive sign,” even as Washington undergoes key personnel changes.

Source: AP News – Russian drone attack wounds 47 in Ukraine’s second city of Kharkiv

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In a deal that has generated both optimism and skepticism, Ukraine’s minerals agreement with the United States marks a delicate balancing act in a complex relationship. Born out of months of negotiations and set against the backdrop of the ongoing war, the deal carries symbolic weight, yet its long-term impact remains uncertain.

The agreement stems from a proposal made by Ukraine during the early, more cooperative days of the Biden administration. However, as the political landscape shifted, this proposal morphed into a necessity for Ukraine, particularly in its dealings with President Donald Trump. Faced with mounting pressures, President Volodymyr Zelensky had little choice but to sign an agreement that would help prevent further strain in his already fragile relationship with the U.S. leader.

While the deal doesn’t guarantee immediate benefits for either side, it serves as a crucial gesture that both nations needed. For Trump, it’s about optics. He needed to feel that America was gaining something tangible from its relationship with Ukraine, especially as the conflict with Russia continues to unfold. For Ukraine, it’s a way to show that its relationship with Washington is still functional—something desperately needed as the war rages on.

The deal’s symbolism cannot be overstated. For Ukraine’s allies, it provides reassurance that Washington is still committed to supporting Kyiv’s fight against Russia, a commitment that has often been in question. In fact, the agreement includes two key phrases that will be especially significant for Ukraine. First, it unequivocally acknowledges the “large-scale destruction caused by Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine,” placing the blame squarely on Russia’s shoulders—something the White House has been reluctant to do in the past. Second, it outlines a mechanism for Ukraine to purchase arms from the U.S., a crucial detail amid the ongoing conflict.

The inclusion of how Ukraine might fund arms purchases through a dedicated U.S. fund is a notable concession, especially given the uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s willingness to provide weapons like the desperately needed Patriot missile systems. This provision suggests that the U.S. will continue to support Ukraine militarily, with the financial framework already in place to facilitate these transactions.

For Trump, this deal sends a message that his position on Ukraine, often seen as wavering between Moscow and Europe, is shifting in Kyiv’s favor. With Moscow showing little interest in a ceasefire agreement and continuing to reject U.S. proposals for peace talks, the deal represents a subtle victory for Ukraine. The Kremlin is likely to take note of the specifics in this agreement, particularly the potential for U.S. military assistance.

However, the long-term implications of the deal remain unclear. The document is framed as a long-term strategy, but the true benefits may not materialize for years. The political landscape in both the U.S. and Ukraine is likely to change before the deal can truly bear fruit, with new administrations potentially reevaluating or revisiting its terms. Ukraine’s historical ability to “interpret” agreements to its advantage further complicates the deal’s prospects for lasting success.

In the world of natural resources and business, Ukraine’s opaque system means that the deal’s impact will not be immediate or straightforward. Once the immediate pressures of the war fade, the messy realities of implementing such a deal will come into sharper focus.

Ultimately, while the minerals deal between Ukraine and the U.S. appears monumental on paper, its true impact may only be felt over the long term. For now, it serves as a symbolic victory for Trump—one that reinforces his political narrative, but also complicates an already volatile geopolitical situation. A temporary solution in a deeply complex and shifting global landscape, the deal is more of a Band-Aid than a game-changer. But for Trump, that might be enough.

Source: CNN – Ukraine minerals deal is largely symbolic – but that’s enough for Donald Trump

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After weeks of tense negotiations and delays, Ukraine is set to sign a long-anticipated mineral resources deal with the United States as early as Wednesday, according to a source familiar with the matter.

The agreement, which has been in the works since President Donald Trump returned to the White House in January, is expected to establish a joint investment fund granting U.S. access to Ukraine’s vast untapped mineral reserves. In return, Washington will inject fresh investments into Ukraine’s recovery and development efforts.

Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal confirmed that the country’s economy minister, Yulia Svyrydenko, is en route to Washington to finalize the agreement. Speaking on Ukrainian television, Shmyhal said, “We are finalizing the last details with our American colleagues. I hope the agreement will be signed within the next 24 hours.”

If completed, the deal would mark a pivotal step in U.S.-Ukraine cooperation at a time when both security concerns and economic resilience are high on Kyiv’s agenda.

The path to this deal hasn’t been smooth. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was initially expected to ink the agreement during a February trip to Washington. However, that visit was cut short after a tense Oval Office meeting with Trump, leaving the deal unsigned.

At the center of the dispute were disagreements over security guarantees. Trump reportedly insisted on delaying any commitments on security until after Ukraine signed the agreement. At one point, Zelensky criticized the deal’s terms, saying it felt like he was being asked to “sell” his country.

Not long after that failed meeting, Trump temporarily froze U.S. aid to Ukraine—sending shockwaves through Europe and prompting renewed pledges of support from Kyiv’s European allies. Although aid has since resumed, the episode left a lasting impact.

While full details haven’t been made public, Shmyhal has characterized the agreement as a “strategic” and “equal” partnership. The U.S. and Ukraine will establish a jointly managed investment fund, with both countries contributing equally. According to Shmyhal, new U.S. military aid may also be counted as a contribution to the fund.

He also clarified that the deal will not retroactively include previous U.S. assistance. Instead, it is focused on fostering future collaboration, especially around rebuilding Ukraine’s economy and infrastructure.

Ukraine holds significant reserves of critical minerals—22 out of the 50 deemed essential by the U.S. Geological Survey. These include rare earth elements vital for electronics, green energy technologies, and defense systems.

Western nations, eager to reduce their dependency on China for these materials, have increasingly looked to Ukraine as a potential alternative source. The Biden administration had already laid the groundwork for this through a memorandum of understanding that encouraged U.S. investment in Ukraine’s mining sector, provided Kyiv offered economic incentives and upheld environmental standards.

Ukraine already has a similar agreement in place with the European Union, signed in 2021.

The signing of this U.S.-Ukraine mineral agreement—expected to happen Wednesday—could signal a new phase in the partnership between Washington and Kyiv, balancing economic opportunity with strategic security.

This story is still developing.

Source: CNN – Ukraine expects to sign long-awaited US mineral deal Wednesday, source says

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Key Developments in US-Ukraine Relations

The Trump administration has lifted its suspension of military aid and intelligence sharing for Ukraine. Meanwhile, Kyiv has signaled its willingness to enter a 30-day ceasefire with Russia, contingent on Moscow’s agreement. These announcements came after high-level talks in Saudi Arabia between American and Ukrainian officials.

Sharp Policy Reversal by the US

This marks a significant shift from just a week ago when the US imposed the aid suspension, seemingly pressuring Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to engage in peace talks with Russia. The suspension followed a tense White House meeting between Zelenskyy and President Donald Trump over the ongoing war.

Ceasefire Proposal to be Presented to Russia

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who led the delegation in Jeddah, stated that Washington would present the ceasefire proposal to the Kremlin, though Russia has previously insisted on a permanent settlement with major concessions from Ukraine.

Rubio: “We’re going to tell them this is what’s on the table. Ukraine is ready to stop shooting and start talking. Now it’s up to Russia to say yes or no.”

Trump’s National Security Adviser, Mike Waltz, reinforced this stance:

“The Ukrainian delegation made it clear today that they share President Trump’s vision for peace.”

Tensions Between Trump and Zelenskyy Eased

The nearly eight-hour-long discussions in Jeddah helped ease tensions between Trump and Zelenskyy, which had flared during their White House meeting last month.

• Waltz noted that talks addressed long-term security guarantees and how to end the war permanently.
• Trump immediately lifted the pause on billions of dollars in military aid and intelligence sharing.
• Trump expressed hope that an agreement could be finalized within days.

Trump: “I’ve been saying that Russia has been easier to deal with than Ukraine, which isn’t how it’s supposed to be. But we have a full ceasefire offer from Ukraine. That’s good.”

Russia’s Response and Military Escalation

The Kremlin has not yet officially responded. However, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova mentioned that negotiations with US officials could happen this week.

Meanwhile, Russia launched its largest attack since the war began, shooting down over 300 Ukrainian drones just hours before the Saudi talks. Ukrainian officials declined to comment on the attack.

• Russia also launched 126 drones and a ballistic missile targeting civilian areas in Ukraine.

Ukraine’s Call for a Lasting Peace

Following the talks, Zelenskyy reaffirmed Ukraine’s commitment to a lasting peace, stating that the country has sought an end to the war since the beginning.

Zelenskyy: “Ukraine has strived for peace from the very first second of this war. We will do everything possible to achieve it as soon as possible—securely and in a way that ensures war does not return.”

• Andriy Yermak, Ukraine’s chief negotiator, described the talks as positive, stating that Ukraine and the US share the same vision for a “just peace.”
• However, some Ukrainians remain skeptical. A Ukrainian soldier, Oleksandr, warned that a ceasefire could allow Russia to regroup and prepare for another attack.

Russian Hardliners Oppose Ceasefire

In Moscow, pro-war politicians and military bloggers fiercely opposed the ceasefire, arguing it would give Ukraine time to rebuild its military.

• Alexander Dugin, a nationalist ideologue, dismissed the idea.
• General Viktor Sobolev, a Russian MP, claimed the 30-day truce would only benefit Ukraine, allowing them to resupply weapons and reorganize forces.
• Sergei Markov, a pro-Kremlin analyst, suggested that Moscow should demand a halt to Western arms supplies as a condition for any truce.

Kremlin Holds Firm on Its Peace Terms

Russia continues to demand:

• Ukraine must abandon its NATO bid.
• Kyiv must recognize Russian control over the occupied territories, which account for nearly 20% of Ukraine’s land.

Russia has maintained battlefield momentum over the past year despite heavy losses and continues to push offensives, especially in eastern Donetsk.

Meanwhile, Ukraine has focused on strengthening its domestic arms industry, particularly high-tech drones, which have successfully targeted Russian positions deep within enemy lines.

What Comes Next?

With the ceasefire proposal now on the table, all eyes are on Moscow. Will Russia agree to Ukraine’s offer, or will it continue its offensive? The next few days will be critical in shaping the future of the conflict.

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Key Points:

• The US and Ukraine have finalized terms on a deal involving natural resources and post-war reconstruction.
• Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is expected to visit Washington soon, possibly to sign the agreement.
• Previous negotiations stalled over security guarantees and resource-sharing terms.
• The final deal aims to strengthen Ukraine’s security and economic stability.

Agreement Reached After Intense Negotiations

The United States and Ukraine have reached an agreement on a crucial deal concerning natural resources and reconstruction, according to a Ukrainian official.

The official noted that the final terms were agreed upon after removing “everything unacceptable” from the draft. The updated agreement now provides clearer details on how it will contribute to Ukraine’s security and long-term peace.

While the US has yet to officially confirm the agreement, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is expected to visit Washington in the coming days.

Zelensky’s Washington Visit Expected

US President Donald Trump signaled his approval of Zelensky’s visit, stating from the Oval Office on Tuesday:

“I hear that he’s coming on Friday. Certainly, it’s okay with me if he’d like to, and he would like to sign it together with me. And I understand that’s a big deal, very big deal.”

Zelensky’s trip could mark a significant milestone in securing US support for Ukraine’s recovery and resource development.

The Road to the Agreement: Key Sticking Points

Earlier negotiations faced obstacles, particularly concerning security guarantees and resource-sharing terms. On Monday, a Ukrainian source told CNN that Ukraine was prepared to grant the US access to its rare earth minerals in exchange for US involvement in a reconstruction fund. However, the US had initially resisted including security guarantees in the deal.

A previous version of the agreement, which reportedly involved the Trump administration demanding a $500 billion share of Ukraine’s rare earths and other minerals in exchange for past US aid, was rejected by Zelensky. According to a source, this proposal was unacceptable because it contained no binding commitments from the US, while Ukraine was expected to make significant concessions.

Since then, negotiations have progressed, with both sides moving closer to a mutually beneficial agreement.

International Reactions and Future Implications

The deal has already garnered international attention. During his visit to the White House on Monday, French President Emmanuel Macron praised Trump’s efforts:

“I commend President Trump for his decision to work with President Zelensky and to conclude this agreement that’s so important for the US and Ukraine on rare earths and critical minerals.”

While some details—such as security assurances—may still be refined in upcoming discussions, the deal marks a major step in US-Ukraine cooperation, with potential long-term benefits for both nations.

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A Shocking Shift in US Policy

The past week has left Europe’s leaders reeling from an unexpected crisis: the abrupt collapse of American support for Ukraine. Many are struggling to comprehend why U.S. President Donald Trump has turned against Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, echoing Kremlin-style disinformation with alarming intensity.

European officials, sidelined from recent Russia-U.S. talks, remain in the dark about Washington’s next moves. They don’t know when, or if, the U.S. will present Kyiv with a proposed peace deal—or worse, abandon Ukraine entirely. The uncertainty has thrown Europe into a state of shock.

“The way in which this was delivered—blow after blow within days—was a real shock for the continent,” said Armida van Rij, a senior research fellow at Chatham House.

Scrambling for a Response

In the wake of this geopolitical earthquake, European politicians are scrambling to formulate a response. A crisis summit in Paris sparked bold but uncoordinated proposals: increased defense spending, a peacekeeping force, and additional military aid. However, these efforts lack cohesion.

While Europe struggles for direction, a striking contrast has emerged: the U.S. and Russia, once bitter rivals, now appear disturbingly aligned, dismissing Ukraine’s demands and negotiating over its future with little European input.

Some experts believe that a strong leader could unite Europe and bridge the growing divide between Kyiv and Washington. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron have emerged as potential figureheads. Both are set to visit Washington next week, their trips now carrying immense significance.

Yet, Europe is historically divided on defense, and its leaders are preoccupied with domestic crises. There is also the delicate question of how—or even if—to challenge Trump. Any misstep could risk further alienation, playing directly into Moscow’s hands.

A Staggering Betrayal

While European leaders expected Trump to be less committed to Ukraine than the Biden administration, they were unprepared for such a swift and total reversal.

The sight of a U.S. president blaming an ally for its own invasion sent shockwaves across the continent. The response from European leaders was unified condemnation—emotionally charged and deeply personal.

But should they really have been surprised? Trump and his advisors have long hinted at an indifference toward Ukraine’s sovereignty, making a drastic shift in policy seem inevitable.

From the moment Trump won the election, “European heads of government should have been getting together … to figure out what the European plan was going to be,” van Rij noted. “But that hasn’t really happened.” Instead, Europe waited—until it was too late.

Boots on the Ground: A Risky Proposal

With U.S. support in question, Europe faces two possible futures: one with a peace deal, and one without. Either scenario will demand European leadership, as the Trump administration prioritizes the Indo-Pacific and domestic concerns over Ukraine.

This week, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer made a bold move, signaling Britain’s willingness to deploy troops as peacekeepers in Ukraine. Western officials estimate the force would include fewer than 30,000 troops, primarily focused on securing infrastructure and restoring confidence in Kyiv.

France, which first proposed a peacekeeping force last year but faced European resistance, is now backing the plan. However, success hinges on U.S. support—specifically, an American military “backstop,” likely in the form of air power controlled from a NATO base, such as in Poland.

Starmer and Macron are expected to present this plan to Trump in Washington next week.

Key Challenges and Military Readiness

The proposal raises pressing concerns:

• If NATO troops in Ukraine were attacked by Russia, how would the alliance respond?
• Can Europe sustain such an operation without American military superiority?
• Will European leaders unite behind the plan, or will divisions weaken its effectiveness?

For Britain, the challenge is particularly acute. The UK military, weakened by decades of cuts, may struggle to meet the demands of an expanded European defense role.

“The British Army is suffering from the cumulative effects of 40 years of decline,” said defense analyst Nicholas Drummond.

Even within the UK government, doubts persist. A Labour MP admitted: “We can cope, but we are in dire need of investment for the modern battlefield.” The UK has committed to increasing defense spending from 2.3% to 2.5% of GDP, but whether that will be enough remains uncertain.

A Divided Europe Faces Tough Choices

Deploying troops to Ukraine is not a universally welcomed idea. Poland—home to NATO’s largest European military—is hesitant, fearing that such a move could provoke further Russian aggression and make its own borders more vulnerable.

Should a smaller coalition of European nations move forward without full NATO backing, Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk will likely demand a seat at the table. His concerns are justified: while Poland has invested heavily in defense, countries like Germany lag behind.

Germany’s Dilemma

Germany, Europe’s economic powerhouse, has been slow to embrace military leadership. Military spending remains at just 1.5% of GDP—far below NATO’s 2% target. Friedrich Merz, the likely incoming chancellor, has called for increased defense investment but has stopped short of concrete commitments.

Germany’s historically close economic ties with Russia further complicate its role. Berlin has long faced criticism—especially from Poland—for its reluctance to sever economic links with Moscow. Now, with its influence on European defense weakened, Germany may struggle to assert itself in the crisis.

What if Ukraine Rejects a U.S.-Russia Peace Deal?

An even more troubling scenario looms: What if Washington and Moscow reach an agreement that Ukraine refuses to accept?

If Zelensky rejects a U.S.-brokered peace deal, Europe will be forced to decide whether to support Ukraine in continuing a war with no clear end.

That would require more than words—it would demand a significant increase in military aid.

Western officials estimate that Kyiv has received enough weapons to last through the summer.

“Biden got a lot of kit in before the inauguration. Kit is still going in,” one official said. But losing American military contributions would be devastating. “There is a difference in quality between America’s supplies and Europe’s,” the official added.

A Painful Breakup with America

Sorting through the wreckage of this crisis will be a difficult and painful process. For decades, Europe has relied on the U.S. for security. Now, that relationship is fracturing.

“The U.S. is walking away from 70 years of cooperation,” a British lawmaker warned. “It remains a key pillar of NATO, and I hope it will stand through time—but it must remain clear-eyed about its adversaries and its allies.”

Europe must now confront an unsettling reality: it may have to defend Ukraine—and itself—without its closest ally.

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